The VIX has turned so buy TLT. VIX is number 1 indicator.
SPY MACD weekly has also rolled over. $WTIC rolled over at end of January and leads SPY by about 6 weeks. TLT:$WTIC crossed 2 weeks ago. Gas buddy turned over last week and is falling rapidly.
I anticipate 2 months of falling SPY followed by a new Fed stimulus program end of April. Current Fed program has petered out. This year is similar to 2012 except weaker.