Category Archives: Uncategorized

CPI down big BUT YoY still high at 3.5

Posted on July 14, 2026 by Credit Flow Investor

Will be less neg for July as gas is falling slower… AND CPI YoY still runs too hot…

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SPY continues to lose momentum

Posted on June 28, 2026 by Credit Flow Investor

weak July …AND VIX still reasonable at 18… 4 month cycle is turning….

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Gas down -12.5% June

Posted on June 24, 2026 by Credit Flow Investor

3 weeks in…big change from May (quite high). 5 months up… Also …when oil surges, oil money surges into SPY. Hence, big up in SPY occurred April and May.

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SPY loses momentum also (SPY+OIL)

Posted on June 19, 2026 by Credit Flow Investor

Upside now is limited to +2-3% to mid-July.

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Oil Trends Down…June is the first month with gas and oil down.

Posted on June 13, 2026 by Credit Flow Investor

Oil trends down for 3 weeks… CPI trends down but still high…with June to be low… SPY down…BUT still +2% for Jun with up pressure from May but also falling momentum.

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Gas Prices May still 1.47SD BUT SPY volatility (mini-correction) leads to lower prices

Posted on June 10, 2026 by Credit Flow Investor

Based on average prices…. 9.2% means 1.47SD OR 0.25 + 1.47 X 0.15 = 0.47 CPI BUT liquidity dries up with SPY volatility so prices in June negative. AND Gas prices down for 2 weeks! Average Price for May $4.47 … Continue reading →

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CPI on high side 0.47 BUT Oil Trends down and SPY volatility leads to reduced liquidity for Oil.

Posted on June 10, 2026 by Credit Flow Investor

Volatility in SPY will lead to continued downward pressure on oil and CPI. Previous May did have rising oil BUT SPY was on fire with added liquidity… Let’s say oil falls to $87 (average for Jun) then -15% from May … Continue reading →

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