Run mostly over but may go to 186 next week.

Next date to watch…Mar 7 nfp and possibly Mar 18 cpi. If they are bad and TLT has a $1GHA event for either, I say buy for a short term play until the first red ha candle or 1st week of April nfp.

Inflation will show higher Mar 18 gcpi 1.8, SPY should have a big fall again through late Mar-early April. PMI and payroll could be bad 1st week of April as in most recent years. However, the setup would be for a strong rebound in May.

The next VIX X-over event (12dma) needs to be watched as well.  This seems to happen the Tues-Fri before the Fed Meeting Mar 12-18.