Problem with April was vix sideways and falling. April 2 red HA indicated to get out of TLT. At the open it was a small green and preceded to fall from there. One way to avoid this is to wait for the dump/fall of TLT first.

TLT was also sideways from Mar 18 to beginning of April.  It’s always best to wait for Fed meeting and dump before buying.

April 2 vix opened higher but then fell below 15….

The TLT dump has now occurred.  Vix rising may take until end of May or early June.

Buy indicators..for TLT in non-QE environment

1) Gas Buddy peaked and falling

2) After Fed Meeting

3) VIX low and rising, VIX HA > 15

4) TLT dumped before

5) TLT GHA and SPY RHA

Economic reports are irrelevant…..

Good news is VIX stays low for a limited period…1.5 months before another VIX burst