Core inflation highest in 3 years! and more inflation to come with obamacare. Gas prices have also risen so ccpi at 2.0 is very possible on Jun 17 and interest rate rise announcement also possible. Taper 2013 had 3 phases: announcement 1, announcement 2, and implementation.
see 2013:
taper announcement 1 Jun 2013 VIX 20+ 1 week after Fed meeting
taper announcement 2 Dec 2013 VIX 17 just before Fed meeting
and implemented Jan 2014 (despite economic weakness) VIX 20+ early Feb
http://www.cnbc.com/id/101279385
see also 2014:
Oct 2014 interest rate rise in fed minutes VIX 20+
Dec 2014 End of QE VIX 20+
Jan 2014 Month after QE ends and ECB implements QE VIX 20+
Rate Rise 2015 announcement 1 possible Jun 17 due to:
1) ccpi near/at 2.0
2) need 6 months notice for actual rise (announcement 1)
3) Yellen mentioned stocks overvalued at beginning of April
Monthly core inflation below…
