The SPY market will stay in a trading range until Jun/July where it gets OS again. TLT will get OB briefly in July.  When it pulls back in July, the buy will take place.  TLT will then rise from Aug to Sep / 6 weeks. The biggest crashes always occur in the fall Sep-Oct-Nov and bottoms just after with the election! This is a recession year so the SPY market falls a minimum of 33%.

TLT always has runs in August or September when the Fed is on a tightening cycle.