Real estate bottoms out 3y after (end of) recession

End of 2012 in UK AND

Q1 2012 for US. Q2 2010 was an effective bottom when delinquencies started to fall. BUT end of 2012 was a better time in both US and Europe.

Unemployment rate also peaked in 2010:

BUT again 2012 was a great time to buy RE as unemployment rate, delinquencies, and unemployment claims were falling for 1.5 years (Q2 2010 to Q4 2011).

Conclusion: Q2 2024 will be the best time to re-enter RE (provided the 3 factors above are falling)….rent until then.

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