Author Archives: Credit Flow Investor

TLT to SPY looking close to a cross in Sep

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TLT breaks out….5 month high…payrolls continue to drop YoY

above 200dma and last high in aug…

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RE (real estate housing home) confirmed as dropping by zillow and case-shiller…

Case-shiller 4 months straight… AND zillow confirms since March… AND aside ….miles traveled as proxy for declining GDP per capita…

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Upward Delta on SPY (momentum) keeps dropping

Despite rates being dropped, spy continues to lose upward momentum… 1 and 2 y Treasuries suck away money from SPY and then it hiccups. The last 5 weeks of 1 year Treasuries show money being drawn away from SPY and … Continue reading

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1y Treasury Trend shows the future of SPY hiccups

Downtrend in 1y Treasury in July last year showed the hiccup in Jul-Aug and the same with Feb-Mar.

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TLT looks primed for a mini-run

TLT moves up and will hit 91-92 by Fed meeting. SPY will have trouble next week… AND TLT gains on short bond

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August SPY updated and weakens but not a big drop yet…1y Treasury shows a drop

Oct-Nov for a big drop after Sep cools some more… Big change from 4.1 to 3.84 the last 4 weeks…current FR is 4.3. IT SEEMS NOW the 1 year is where it should be given a 0.25 drop. New FR … Continue reading

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UTWO All Trend Lines Up (short bonds move first)

200 dma points up again in August… May-Jul weakness ends. SPY will start to have trouble. In Feb, bonds started to move up ROC60 + and trouble happened in SPY Mar and Apr (Earnings’ Season). When SPY has big trouble, … Continue reading

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TLT to SPY starting to turn

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S & P cools off Aug Bi-wkly

Bi-wkly is added after july monthly.. Bi-wkly oil drops 5%…

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