Author Archives: Credit Flow Investor

Money Supply M1 goes to Cash…WMT booms

The YoY increase in M1 was crossed in September…meaning weak economy and recession ahead say 2026. Shoppers switch to WMT to save money. High middle class are also switching. 2021-2022 economy was good…WMT flat. In 2023, WMT started rising and … Continue reading

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Economy Weakening BUT not 2007

A lot of comparisons are made to 2008. AND most indicators are flashing recession ahead. The economy is slowing and weakening: In 2007, payrolls were growing below 1%…we’re still at 1.4%. Below 1% will be next june. Notice Q3 2006 … Continue reading

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How to know USD is in a bull market?

As you know, the USD has been sideways for the past 2 years. USD trend is key to market transitions. How to know you have a new uptrend? Simple USD should be Overbought on a weekly basis… In Oct-Nov 2021, … Continue reading

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Core Inflation and Payrolls Trend Down

Payrolls Yearly … Payrolls Monthly…

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USD breaks 2y and Oil 3y Trends

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SPY Correction last October (-10%)… inflation falls

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UTWO first day above 12dma

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USD back confirms deflationary envoronment

The inflation scare of the last 3 months (Jul-Sep) came from falling USD. BUT now its back and strongest monthly in 2 years. This leads to stalling stock market and falling oil.

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VIX needs to drop by last week of Month

The last week it pushes up…

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Inflation and Unemployment Claims (Mo UC)

Notice that UC fell for 3 months and inflation reported higher at 0.2 . BUT NOW Oct is rising rapidly again like May and June.

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