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Author Archives: Credit Flow Investor
SPY ROC12 confirms now -1.38%
Sloping down….negative social mood.
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Gas Price Surge 1wk +16.4%
BUT these surges last 2 weeks then fall….see March 2022
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12wk SPY -0.4%
First SPY -ve in 9 months….transition to -ve since last Feb.
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MSFT 12wkX100wkma…cycle from Apr 2023 ends and Oil pushes up ROC60.
5 wks below 100 wkma…last X Apr 2023.
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12wk SPY change +0.8%
AND dispersion…standard deviation falls
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A good call in 2012..
In Dec 2012, I made this post … Nowadays I would sell 0cpn if risk ON. And here VERY OBVIOUS by Jan especially… TLT to SPY 2012-2013
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TIP up Feb 1.27% and 12wk 1.29%…Pause slows SPY Feb -0.5%
Close to new high…TIP 119-120 by Dec. Pause has slowed SPY…
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SPY sideways since Jan and 12 week is just +1%
End Nov previous 12 wks was +6%. So slowing rapidly… Macd points down since November…
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Rising oil means Fed pause until June
WS likes to switch to oil and gold when spy has difficulties-see 2019. In 2018, SPY fell -20%. All can go up this year BUT SPY will not be the priority. Except for bear markets and recessions, I prefer it … Continue reading
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