Category Archives: Uncategorized

Jobs still under pressure

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1y Treasury crosses threshold

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Lennar (Real Estate) home prices fall to 2020 levels already 1 year into downturn

Margins and revenues keep falling…

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Q1 Profits stall and tariff taxes no impact on May inflation

Price increases were big since Q1 2020 which led to big profits. BUT now profits stall Q1 before tariffs.

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TLT above 60 dma bullish

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Condo Bust getting close to worst ever…

And not even in a recession yet… “”It was the most splendid condo bubble ever, topped off with a mania, driven by the Fed’s interest-rate repression that included trillions of dollars of purchases of MBS, which pushed down mortgage rates … Continue reading

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Oil Drop AND Money velocity M2V now negative (also 2007)

Also 2007 negative…

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Land Prices (Parcels) down 60 to 70% already

Years ago, I heard stories that land prices can fall 90% in a real estate downturn. In a downturn, commercial property can be very bad as vacancies can soar and land prices crash.

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Gasoline comes off, JETS down&S&P Quarterly down

Economy weak… Average daily S&P close per quarter…

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Long Gains on Short

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