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XLE and Teck slopes are DOWN
Economy weakening…XLE slope down for first time since covid… TECK under more pressure…
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Construction Employees grow the slowest in 5 years except covid
First, units under construction in decline… Second, employee growth the lowest since covid and 2019… the last year… the last 10 years… Homebulding stock in bear market for 3 months now…NOW down YoY -2% AND apartments/condos down even more…
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Inverted Curve 10 year and 3 month Treasury and Margin Debt 50% bigger than 2007
down this year again after 2023 and 2024 Margin debt near all time high…at least 50% more than 2007 peak… Exponential regression to trend puts S&P at 2100 but by end 2026 SPY 240.
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Gas Prices Fall faster YoY
gasoline prices were falling less fast on YoY basis…now reversing..
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Slope of SPY…613 by end of march…iwm roc12
SPY slope…what is spy at by end of March? 4 wkma 2.33 per week…mar 31 …620 12 wkma 1.20 per week …..mar 31 607 Between two…613.3 or 4.7% or 1/2 the rate of last year (10.4%). IWM stalling…much weaker than … Continue reading
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TECK now bear market,OEX last 4 months bear and MBB points up
teck, the leading coal producer, now shows future energy demand falling. -18% off high price in September. 12 week has crossed the 100 week. 100 week slope leveled. OEX now back to 12wkma…getting ready for next down move. Long term … Continue reading
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