Category Archives: Uncategorized

The YoY increase in M1 was crossed in September…meaning weak economy and recession ahead say 2026. Shoppers switch to WMT to save money. High middle class are also switching. 2021-2022 economy was good…WMT flat. In 2023, WMT started rising and … Continue reading →

A lot of comparisons are made to 2008. AND most indicators are flashing recession ahead. The economy is slowing and weakening: In 2007, payrolls were growing below 1%…we’re still at 1.4%. Below 1% will be next june. Notice Q3 2006 … Continue reading →

As you know, the USD has been sideways for the past 2 years. USD trend is key to market transitions. How to know you have a new uptrend? Simple USD should be Overbought on a weekly basis… In Oct-Nov 2021, … Continue reading →

Payrolls Yearly … Payrolls Monthly…

The inflation scare of the last 3 months (Jul-Sep) came from falling USD. BUT now its back and strongest monthly in 2 years. This leads to stalling stock market and falling oil.

The last week it pushes up…

Notice that UC fell for 3 months and inflation reported higher at 0.2 . BUT NOW Oct is rising rapidly again like May and June.