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Core Inflation and Payrolls Trend Down
Payrolls Yearly … Payrolls Monthly…
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USD back confirms deflationary envoronment
The inflation scare of the last 3 months (Jul-Sep) came from falling USD. BUT now its back and strongest monthly in 2 years. This leads to stalling stock market and falling oil.
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VIX needs to drop by last week of Month
The last week it pushes up…
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Inflation and Unemployment Claims (Mo UC)
Notice that UC fell for 3 months and inflation reported higher at 0.2 . BUT NOW Oct is rising rapidly again like May and June.
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Bear Market…long term SPY:VIX ratio
Can see clearly bull-bear transitions…bear started end of Aug…
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1 year Treasury falls rapidly last 10 wks…deflationary
Fed has to catch up big time!
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