Category Archives: Uncategorized

Profit growth….

Guess the guy behind this speech? “Primarily this is because the rulers of the exchange of mankind’s goods have failed, through their own stubbornness and their own incompetence, have admitted their failure, and abdicated. Practices of the unscrupulous money changers … Continue reading →

After 2020-2024 boom, now 2025 down. More concentration of economy at the top….

And weaker yet in 2026 ….0.5% growth. This also says SPY will be 0% next year as growth is dying and Fed drops on pause in Dec.

TLT reflects the Fed pausing in December and having a downward reaction -2.5. BUT is now due to go sideways 90-91 during November. Push to 93 or 93.50 in December. TLT now has an upward slope in Sep and Oct.

Certainly not high inflation…compact cars -5%…

Looks like Fed is becoming worried about this parabolic behavior of tech stocks. Hence, why no drop in Jan…regardless of rising unemployment or lower inflation. Tech and Gold stocks thought rising unemployment was great for them as Fed would drop … Continue reading →

New FR 3.83 so -0.1 is 3.73. Upside almost over but will last 4-5 wks before resuming downtrend. The gap between Fed rate and 1 year Treasury can close to -0.1.

2 year or 100 week moving average… With QE 2021 it rises about 15%…a lot more in 2008.

Costco represents top 50% spending in America as many doctors/medical and lawyers also shop there… Last year in December Costco was up +35% YoY. Of course, economy was booming in Q1 2025! And for most of 2025… OEX loses momentum … Continue reading →