The last 2 Fed minutes (Aug. 21 and Oct. 9) were the times to buy.

If Nov. 20 at close SPY is on the bottom of the BBdaily, I say buy. If it is near the top or the middle, wait for it to hit the BBd bot perhaps 5 days later(Nov. 25). Indicated level at this point would be 173 as the BBd bottom is rising fast. Based on 173 bottom,  SPY would hit 180-181 on morning of Dec. 18 and that would be the time to sell.

If SPY falls from Dec. 20- Jan 23 due to debt debate, it will hit the BBd bottom sometime Jan 23-29 (Fed mtg). SPY may hit the bottom on the Fed meeting (Jan 29) this time. The Fed meeting is 1 week before debt debate resolution deadline.  Last time the market bottomed Oct. 9 which was 1 week before debt cutoff.

Debt debate will be resolved by Feb. 7 regardless.

Gas buddy is falling nicely at 3.23 giving the consumer extra spending money for Christmas and February after debt resolution.