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Author Archives: Credit Flow Investor
SPY will rebound next week BUT it has weakened as well as economy
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Last week gas slows monday to monday +6.2%…net 23.4%
Slows from +16.2..and this week much slower +2%
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Gas starts to level off +2% this week…wk3 (last)
Net is +25.4% or +7.9% last week.
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CPI est2 to surge to 2.9
Then fall to 2.0 by end of year with 3 cuts Sep Oct Dec.
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SPY 12wk -0.8%
Consolidating Feb-Apr… And 12wk…-2.69% OR -4.3% off recent peak at 200dma ready for big bounce.
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Gas Buddy Slows Down +6.3% this week …+23.7%
Last week +16.4…total +23.7%
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Quite Rare Gasoline 8.6 SD +16.2% FRED wkly change
8 SD means 8 standard deviations. This is quite rare but will create inflation scare necessary to keep Fed on hold.
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TLT to SPY last week
it’s the best in 12 months with 3 dots above 12 wkma. In October, it did not turn to bull because SPY too strong 12 wk 6.9%. 52wk ROC was still -16%. At that time, no chance to turn by … Continue reading
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