Author Archives: Credit Flow Investor

Bear Confirmation SPY:VIX FINALLY!

10 week X 40 week

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Unemployment Accelerating Upwards

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Lower low means Bear market

2 year bear market 2025-2026. Unemployment to 12%…. Oil also a bear market

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Unemployment Rate Rising from 3.5 to 4.1

Quarterly unemployment is rising. Other countries more +1.4% in a year…..US +0.6% Now waiting for a market hiccup. You need a hiccup before Fed takes any action. Numbers alone are not enough.

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2 Year Treasury Bull resumes May

up and up recession approaches…Q1 2025

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Inflation falls faster in June

Retail gas prices catching up to wholesale now…

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The hunter stalks and reacts. Replaces the slave predicts…the king reacts.

The hunter stalks and reacts. He doesn’t predict.

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Employment to Population declines in Feb (YoY) for first time since 2013 and May 2007

Ratio declines for first time (YoY) in over 10 years. Before a recession, last time was May 2007.

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This recession will take longer to play out than previous recessions…expect 3 year bear market.

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A New Dark Age…can’t predict when it will end must burn out naturally in 20-50 years!

We entered a dark age year 2000 or 2015. The internet is the new Gutenberg bible. Points-comments are below-

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