Author Archives: Credit Flow Investor

GCPI rises to 2.7 +0.3 and CCPI +0.1 …inflation up

  Inflation on high side-

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TLT in downtrend 4dma X 12dma

  Inflation fears…similar to:

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USD ROC(4) retreats after hitting 4%

Most likely back to 0% and rebounding in mid-June… USD weakness has driven SPY up this week but will slow down next week allowing a SPY retreat after Fed Mtg.

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Inflation Rising…highest gas inflation in over a year

The YoY gas chart indicates the future inflation number for May…highest level in over a year and climbing..   And of course confirmed with gcpi below…

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TLT:Oil transitions to risk off

TLT to oil shows a move to risk off.  MACD wkly shows the first up in 4 weeks. Although TLT momentum is still low when compared to 2016 and 2017 Apr-Jun timeframes. I suspect that’s due to rate rises and … Continue reading

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Real Estate Pipeline dries up with millennials

Real estate doesn’t have a bright future as the bottom of the market has no support. Where Millennials Are Buying Homes 1. Ogden-Clearfield, Utah Millennials who own homes: 51.0% 2. Grand Rapids-Wyoming, Mich. Millennials who own homes: 45.3% 3. Des Moines-West … Continue reading

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Real estate bottoms out 3y after (end of) recession

End of 2012 in UK AND Q1 2012 for US. Q2 2010 was an effective bottom when delinquencies started to fall. BUT end of 2012 was a better time in both US and Europe. Unemployment rate also peaked in 2010: … Continue reading

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Gas needs to turn now

Gas prices need to turn down on a monthly basis. Over the summer, gas prices roll over after rising early in the year.

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USD bull (5-6mo) has begun

The USD has broken out into bull mode.  This is necessary to have a TLT run and to have oil turn around and fall.  See Oct 2014 and Jan 2015 and Jan 2016. Oil has turned the 3rd week May … Continue reading

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World has progressed vs US and Finance Jobs Shrink by 30%

  The world has progressed relative to the US. And the job creation problems of the future from:    

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