Author Archives: Credit Flow Investor

May 4 is day after Fed Mtg…

The july SPY run took place so quickly as VIX did not exceed 20. Also the long term VIX averages show that this will take 3 weeks to process for blue line to peak … 2 rises next year is … Continue reading →

Both ccpi and gcpi flat to falling for first time since Mar/Apr… OBV bullish: VIX crossed blue line: AND 2 week gas up: Hence SPY can rise rapidly… ROC has turned from a -6.5 to a -5 and more pronounced … Continue reading →

After the second dip, a 12% run in 2 months. Feb 2 had a 2% dip. The first dot above blue line in Feb indicated the beginning of the uptrend (2nd Fri in Feb).

CBOE CHARTS   VIX breakout was Oct 4 at 1245 NYT when it broke above 15.    

  The VIX peaked end of april then fell from May-mid Jun a $17 run. For now red and blue lines rising means 1 wk up and 1 wk down until VIX blue line falls at Fed mtg Nov 7.

SPY will fall for a few days as a yield spike (Tlt down 3% in 2 days) has occurred due to mini oil shock. The red line for a pullback is 291.  Market is due to open up below this … Continue reading →

ROC5 is a good indicator to show a reversion to the mean effect on a weekly basis. On a monthly basis, the chart shows a strong July / Aug and a weak Sep implying a strong Oct indeed. ROC5 trend … Continue reading →

  And core inflation also dropped… And Sep due for a bigger drop… This is good for SPY in the fall after fed mtg…

The SPY ROC will go down and down until fed mtg 3wks from today. Sep will be a – ROC month. July was a +4 and August a +3 so reversion to mean brings spy to a -.  Also the … Continue reading →