Author Archives: Credit Flow Investor

Since taper, non-QE and now  int rate rise environment, ROC X 0 has become useful as it was with SPY in QE environment. I will now change ROC20 link to TLT.   In fact, the numbers may be grossly exaggerated, … Continue reading →

1) TLT GHA at open on Jun 18, VIX HA > 15 and green, OEX < 4dma 2) same as above on Jun 22 or Jun 23 3) same on Jun 29 Have to be open to a turnaround occurring … Continue reading →

At end of month on Monday, a clear signal forms as to the direction of TLT based on the decision table above. Jun 22,23 are also possible.   Gas Buddy has fallen over the weekend so TLT will pop about … Continue reading →

Notice OEX and VIX together show the trend reversing before Fed meeting on Mar 18.   Also April…

For TLT to resume bull status, it would need to close above 122.77. Also RSI > 50… TLT link T means transition The first T is the taper transition to no QE and falling inflation/rising USD. The second T is … Continue reading →

starting late May TLT  can rebound… In late March/early April, TLT not a play. So this is a sanity check not a precise timing entry tool…   longer term view…TLT only a ‘play’ if FXC below 50 RSI

When policy changes occur, the TLT:SPY ratio rises the most. Ratio is at bottom of range….

TLT will be down this week which is good as this will be a good rebound opportunity after Fed policy change Jun 17. Initially TLT will go down after int rate rise announcement but then start a rebound 1 week … Continue reading →

USD is back to bull mode again….but Fed Meeting will provide more clarity & volatility.

The market direction(s) are too ‘noisy’ right now. Vix is up but the fed meeting is critical or rather the open of Jun 18.  Jun 18 at open tells the market verdict on the fed meeting and the resulting trends. … Continue reading →