Author Archives: Credit Flow Investor

Confirmation will be by end of week….   Makes sense as a few days after Fed minutes.  Look for VIX to rise next…

Core inflation highest in 3 years!  and more inflation to come with obamacare.  Gas prices have also risen so ccpi at 2.0 is very possible on Jun 17 and interest rate rise announcement also possible. Taper 2013 had 3 phases: … Continue reading →

ROC + Sep ROC – Oct ROC+ Nov ROC -shallow Dec&Jan due to end of QE and ECB QE ROC+ Feb ROC- Mar ROC+ Apr & May June should have ROC- as its overdue.  Last year May, Jun, and July … Continue reading →

As money velocity keeps falling, the Fed has to drive asset prices higher and higher in order to grow economy. The peak of money velocity was 1997 and since then asset bubbles have been driven higher and higher with no … Continue reading →

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24USD&p=D&yr=1&mn=0&dy=0&id=p65443933360 This is a TLT ‘in play’ indicator. VIX > 15 still necessary but good news inflation has also surged.. So with inflation near the top target and stocks overvalued…Fed can announce interest rate rise in June.  USD seems to … Continue reading →

The first dot above the line since Apr 18.  Possible TLT turnaround… Gas Buddy still rising though… And vix still low

Also TLT: $WTIC adjusting…also levelled.

Not always but as with Fed meetings a change in trend is possible or the stopping of a trend (Feb 20) occurs after the Fed minutes.  3/8 Fed Minutes per year are significant. So as with May 2013, a possible … Continue reading →

Consider TLT entry when 1) After Fed minutes May 20, 2) VIX HA > 15   (closes at 16 for example) 3) SPY is $2 below recent high or $210.  SPY should also be RHA.   Current VIX 12dma… First sign … Continue reading →

Bi-weekly gas St Louis FED shows record surge levels