Author Archives: Credit Flow Investor

For april, VIX was below the 12dma except for the first 2 days and spy was above the average.  Both were bad for TLT.  Inflation also rose the last 3 months. When QE is off, have to wait for TLT … Continue reading →

TLT pulled back on Thurs but will surge on Monday due to bad payrolls. Plan is to hold until Apr 30 (end of month surge) and Fed meeting Apr 29. A new criteria is added that VIX HA (the average … Continue reading →

Buy TLT sell Apr 8…at close   VIX GHA TLT GHA   SPY RHA

If you have TLT hold..if not buy after FED meeting Mar 18 when VIX GHA TLT GHA SPY RHA at open Symmetry concept: if qe, play SPY not TLT No QE, play TLT not SPY as spy can correct 15% … Continue reading →

TLT turned RHA at the beginning of the month.  If TLT turns GHA on Monday along with VIX GHA and SPY RHA, then it is close enough to Fed meeting to buy TLT.  Wait for close price on Monday.

TLT in play again as it has levelled the last 4 days. The next key is upward momentum.  This occurs when VIX is GHA and SPY turns RHA in the lead up to the fed meeting (this is key). SPY … Continue reading →

Watch for VIX to X above the 12dma on Mar 3 but also the following Monday Mar 9. VIX is low at 13 so ready for a new spring…   Also VIX HA after PMI day:

Looks like TLT has turned. Remember TLT is still the bull market with QE off… TLT has X 12dma as well. Still waiting for VIX GHA at the close and also SPY RHA to confirm.

With RSI at 32, TLT will take a month to ‘spring’. So the first entry will be Mar 19 or a few days later if VIX GHA, TLT GHA, and SPY RHA. Last run took place after the fed meeting … Continue reading →

CNBC talks of interest rate rise.  Reading between the lines it means continued no QE Clearly not see gross inflation below!!!     This keeps TLT in bull mode…   Below is the 12dma .  Flat so far this week…looking … Continue reading →