Author Archives: Credit Flow Investor

Looks like TLT again next week when VIX GHA, TLT GHA and SPY RHA on /after Feb 18 Fed minutes. Can buy at open when SPY shows RHA! You can buy at open and sell at Fed meeting close Mar … Continue reading →

In order to avoid whipsaws as seen on Jan 8 and 14, wait for economic data to wash through first before buying.  All the best buy spy decisions are mid to end of month anyway. With QE off, signals are … Continue reading →

ROC -4 or more is needed in the picture for consistent signals.  This month had inconsistent signals and the ROC was mostly +1/-1 during the month. To play SPY rebound ROC -4 is necessary to consistent signals…HA .  I am … Continue reading →

TLT is still OB with very little energy left at this time (it may still go higher but very little as most of the price is built in).  SPY is losing steam rapidly and can fall into OS territory quickly … Continue reading →

I have added RSI to TLT and SPY HA links. RSI is important for a spring effect that I will call ‘RSI spring’. RSI needs to start low in order for TLT to have a good ‘run’. VIX GHA, SPY … Continue reading →

sell TLT for now…   wait for Fed meeting!

VIX GHA TLT GHA and SPY RHA Time to go to TLT again Ultimate price 149-152 by mid-Feb. Of course, no SPY buying until 10-15% correction and SPY hits GHA…. This should be the 1-2nd week of February!

Looks like SPY will rise for 1 week, retrace, and stabilize before Fed meeting.  Then down again when QE is not forthcoming (Jan 28). QE will not be announced then as: 1) SPY has not corrected 10-15% 2) Core inflation … Continue reading →

for now sell tlt and stay cash   Things may oscillate every 1 -2 weeks but I still believe a re-entry to TLT is possible in a few days! 1) TLT still above 12dma 2) VIX still high at 17-18 … Continue reading →

VIX GHA TLT GHA SPY RHA   so buy TLT melt is coming!!!