Author Archives: Credit Flow Investor

When GB rising, cash is best

Rising gas buddy indicates hold cash. After GB (gas buddy) has been falling for 1 mo, that’s a possible buy for SPY if VIX and GHA agree. That’s for a major run/rebound of SPY. After a GB peak, TLT may … Continue reading

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ROC still – and Wages Fall as % GDP

Looks like ROC is still a – A pullback in April should follow with a rebound expected for May 1 or May 2. Two criteria are 1) GHA 0.80+ and 2) VIX < VIX 12dma   Wages are falling behind … Continue reading

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Gas Buddy Rises…possible TLT buy ccpi 2.0 in Aug?

Gas buddy finally rises so there’s a chance to achieve some inflation.   In the past 2 years, TLT:SPY rises when ccpi hits 2.0. However, TLT is technically a bull market as of mid-January which corresponds to the beginning of … Continue reading

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Gas Buddy Rising for 50+ days

Gas buddy shows sign of life (and some inflation) so SPY and ROC may rise slightly but not a big rise.

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ROC now –

ROC has now crossed to – meaning April a down month. So April will be quite a down month.  Look for turn/rebound on May 1-2: 1) GHA 2) VIX falls below 12dma

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OEX 4dma sideways

In addition to ROC20, OEX 4 day moving average is also useful to see a turn.  For now everything sideways..

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Next Decision Day May 1 at open

Looks like based on ROC at +6% that March will not see a pull back but rather April.  So May 1 (open) is the next decision day.  Inflation has risen a bit but ccpi won’t make it to 2.0.  It … Continue reading

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Definition of HA candles…Mar 20 to Mar 28

HA candles are now available on stock charts so trading view is no longer needed… From Stock charts…definition of HA candles- Heikin-Ashi Candlesticks are an offshoot from Japanese candlesticks. Heikin-Ashi Candlesticks use the open-close data from the prior period and … Continue reading

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Mar 7 and next VIX Xover

Run mostly over but may go to 186 next week. Next date to watch…Mar 7 nfp and possibly Mar 18 cpi. If they are bad and TLT has a $1GHA event for either, I say buy for a short term … Continue reading

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Most of SPY run over this Friday

I would say sell this Friday as 80% of SPY run to 184 will be done. However, VIX 12dma says stay in.  When the X to upside occurs, the next crisis begins. ROC- is now  a general indicator not a … Continue reading

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