Author Archives: Credit Flow Investor

Gas Buddy can be used as an inflation proxy. So can gas buddy be used to predict the size of the rebound/run?  In the following table, I have weighted: 1 to be ROC20 – event, -1 as rapidly falling gas … Continue reading →

On Feb 19, the Fed minutes are released.  These are the best times to play a rebound provided ROC – is observed.  Last year the months were: Feb, Apr, Aug, and Oct.  May and November would not have been played … Continue reading →

The best trade will be when cpi reaches 2.0 and then falls out again..the saw-tooth pattern. SPY benefits from CPI falling. The 3 best runs are Nov-Jan 2013, Apr-May (Feb CPI 2.0) and Oct-Nov (Aug CPI 2.0) were all driven … Continue reading →

I say stay cash until Jan. 8 (Fed Minutes) when to look for 3 green bars. Probably Jan. 9. We are too close to debt debate to take risk now. There is a rebound today BUT For your reference, HA … Continue reading →

So cpi rose above 1.2 so we’ll see after 1:30 edt what impact the fed statement has. I suspect we’ll have red bars after wards until Friday-Tuesday due to Fed being less nervous if inflation were below 1.0. They may … Continue reading →

Now that we are in ROC- territory Heiken Ashi candles can be used to fine tune entry point. See url here… https://www.tradingview.com/e/?symbol=SPY   Use SPY and 2h Heiken Ashi candles. You have the usual Lo-Hi  line and Open-Close filled box. … Continue reading →

Last year December: Inflation… And current ROC…see event driven: So it can bottom on Dec 18 or 5 days later.  Because inflation is so low I suspect the turn point will be Dec 18 or 19. Look for 1st ‘up’ … Continue reading →

ROC20 is now minus But I want -4- on/after Dec 18 before I consider buying large. See here Sep, Oct, and Nov were mostly +ve..a break is needed before next rebound. The rally could still start Dec 18 as Nov … Continue reading →

If not buy TLT Mar/Apr. For now stay cash. ROC-4- means rate of change 20 days for SPY falls more than 4%. Now it is 0% and crossing to – territory can take a few days to a month. There … Continue reading →

As OEX crosses the 10 wkma and approaches the 78-82 range, look for a bottom soon. I say most likely will be Fed minutes Jan 8-12 but could be Dec 18. Confirmations are OEXd 4dma X to the upside and … Continue reading →