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TIPs confirm bond bull..ROC4 +1.25%
and ROC 4 / ROC 12 both +ve.
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12 week rolling SPY / S&P (wk av) method better than FRED daily average
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BTC down YoY -27%…liquidity dries up
12 wk X 100 wkma now…very bearish.
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Asset Prices Drive Real Economy
A slowing SPY is bad news. Rolling 12 week change- Q2 +11.2% Q3 +6.6% Q4 +2.7%
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CMG fails again
CMG rally comes to an end…value rally fails.
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Pause to June….Fed Futures
Parabolic gold +10% wk means a long sideways 3-4 months… 70% pause in April…
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SPY slows…12 week rolling at 2.9%
Last year Jan +2.5% …this year 1.3%.
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TIP up …ROC12 close to 0
Last 6 months speed at 50% compared to Jan last year…
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