Category Archives: Uncategorized

and spy: and oil falls the most in a long time as USD moves up:

  Russell index is a good leading indicator for SPY. And is a non-confirmation of a bull market.

TLT is a buy 4th week of May or Jun 3…   Oil momentum still high… Oil will slow down in May as it has been OB for most of April. OB oil slows down economy for next quarter…. TLT … Continue reading →

The 2 year rates (now 2.33) have been falling since Nov 8 (2.94) showing a slowing growth and inflation. Fed fund rates are now higher than the 2 year rates for first time in 10 years. And the monthly difference … Continue reading →

VIX needs to bottom in 2 months…rise in 3 mo   AND TLT:OIL Risk ON … needs to go sideways

The change in claims is the least in 10 years showing a rapid slowing now.

TLT:SPY ratio turns on Friday……last xover was 1st week October…

Oil will steal all the growth as it did in Sep/Oct before the last bear phase.  Now SPY back to BULL until July when growth stalls again.   Long term VIX lines confirm a new bull phase.. And 3 mo: … Continue reading →

Forecast And Job Cuts Rising: ISM Forecast to cross 50 by Apr-May: