Category Archives: Uncategorized

Core inflation is falling for past 3 mo achieving Fed’s objectives… 2015 had rapidly rising inflation as did the beginning of 2018…   And economy strong UC claims great: Jobs plus lower inflation… For November inflation, also down but due … Continue reading →

Already a double dip so no dip at Fed Mtg… LONGER AND DEEPER THAN EXPECTED: 17 RHA bars and no counter rally for 1 week…   VIX HA shows the turn the day before…   AND VIX dots/ohlc shows the … Continue reading →

Oil has broken the 40 wkma….but needs to do more by Nov 9. Oil macd has turned down and previous mini-bears in oil have lasted 5 weeks….2 weeks left. What should the target be 55???   Gas price inflation up … Continue reading →

May 4 is day after Fed Mtg…

The july SPY run took place so quickly as VIX did not exceed 20. Also the long term VIX averages show that this will take 3 weeks to process for blue line to peak … 2 rises next year is … Continue reading →

Both ccpi and gcpi flat to falling for first time since Mar/Apr… OBV bullish: VIX crossed blue line: AND 2 week gas up: Hence SPY can rise rapidly… ROC has turned from a -6.5 to a -5 and more pronounced … Continue reading →

After the second dip, a 12% run in 2 months. Feb 2 had a 2% dip. The first dot above blue line in Feb indicated the beginning of the uptrend (2nd Fri in Feb).

CBOE CHARTS   VIX breakout was Oct 4 at 1245 NYT when it broke above 15.    

  The VIX peaked end of april then fell from May-mid Jun a $17 run. For now red and blue lines rising means 1 wk up and 1 wk down until VIX blue line falls at Fed mtg Nov 7.