Category Archives: Uncategorized

It can still go lower/more red. AND now setup for Jan TLT rally.   And TLT:SPY shows near bottom…

The monthly change in gas prices is “less bad” therefore oil rally is close in Nov or Dec.  USD market still worried about interest rate rise. BUT core inflation will come down in Oct-Nov putting the Fed rise off the … Continue reading →

Review:  GWm means green Williams Oscillator and RWm mean red Williams Oscillator. Earlier I said the market will fall due to gravity not fed intervention through rate rise. Rates won’t go up as inflation will come off by the Dec … Continue reading →

Monthly gas inflation has come off the bottom so this implies a SPY rally soon most likely after Dec 16 Fed Meeting.  This chart is wonderful for predicting rebounds/transitions! This will also mean a pullback in TLT rewinding the spring … Continue reading →

Few realize that rising core inflation causes the Fed to leave an interest rate rise on the table thereby suppressing SPY and causing this oscillation from 189 to 200. Last year it rose again in October and fell in November … Continue reading →

Bad news is the SPY rally appears to be over but will still see by Oct 28.  It only ran for a little over a week indicating a poor spring opportunity. In order to get a $10 run on TLT, … Continue reading →

Bi-wkly gasoline shows some strength since Jun-July.  This indicates caution…wait and see.

To get a good race or run, TLT needs two horses pulling/springs : SPY and Oil.   Oil spring reloading nicely…   SPY GWm indicates SPY is reloading also. SPY retraced near 200dma or just over is a bear market … Continue reading →

Oil has X the 10wkma and been flat for 1 mo so SPY rally should start the next month. Oil leads SPY by 1-1.5 month. The high VIX 40 in August indicated a month settling time is required! VIX has … Continue reading →

The high VIX indicates an even higher VIX and recession next year. VIX is down 10 and SPY is up 3.  Sep-Oct TLT run possible but also Oct-Nov.  The last 2 weeks of Sep will tell. If SPY HA starts … Continue reading →