Category Archives: Uncategorized

Looks like TLT has turned. Remember TLT is still the bull market with QE off… TLT has X 12dma as well. Still waiting for VIX GHA at the close and also SPY RHA to confirm.

With RSI at 32, TLT will take a month to ‘spring’. So the first entry will be Mar 19 or a few days later if VIX GHA, TLT GHA, and SPY RHA. Last run took place after the fed meeting … Continue reading →

CNBC talks of interest rate rise.  Reading between the lines it means continued no QE Clearly not see gross inflation below!!!     This keeps TLT in bull mode…   Below is the 12dma .  Flat so far this week…looking … Continue reading →

Looks like TLT again next week when VIX GHA, TLT GHA and SPY RHA on /after Feb 18 Fed minutes. Can buy at open when SPY shows RHA! You can buy at open and sell at Fed meeting close Mar … Continue reading →

In order to avoid whipsaws as seen on Jan 8 and 14, wait for economic data to wash through first before buying.  All the best buy spy decisions are mid to end of month anyway. With QE off, signals are … Continue reading →

ROC -4 or more is needed in the picture for consistent signals.  This month had inconsistent signals and the ROC was mostly +1/-1 during the month. To play SPY rebound ROC -4 is necessary to consistent signals…HA .  I am … Continue reading →

TLT is still OB with very little energy left at this time (it may still go higher but very little as most of the price is built in).  SPY is losing steam rapidly and can fall into OS territory quickly … Continue reading →

I have added RSI to TLT and SPY HA links. RSI is important for a spring effect that I will call ‘RSI spring’. RSI needs to start low in order for TLT to have a good ‘run’. VIX GHA, SPY … Continue reading →

sell TLT for now…   wait for Fed meeting!

VIX GHA TLT GHA and SPY RHA Time to go to TLT again Ultimate price 149-152 by mid-Feb. Of course, no SPY buying until 10-15% correction and SPY hits GHA…. This should be the 1-2nd week of February!