Category Archives: Uncategorized

USD now shows bull trend due to taper. Currency guys see taper coming but stocks are caught on last round of exuberance before party over. OEX may indicate a X on Friday but this will be a whipsaw as the … Continue reading →

Now that TLT is bought…hold positions.  The OEX will tell when to exit and sell. http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$OEXA200R&p=W&yr=3&mn=0&dy=0&id=p98821371788 When OEX X on the upside either the 10 wkma or the 40 wkma, it’s a good time to sell.  Target dates are end … Continue reading →

http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/08/26/us-economy-durables-idUSBRE97P0FL20130826 “When looking for signs that interest rate increases are too much for the economy to handle, durable goods, like housing, are a leading indicator of weakness in the broader economy,” said Chris Low, chief economist at FTN Financial in … Continue reading →

Buy TLT now as TLT:SPY has X the 10 wkma today. SPY down and TLT is up! It appears as a power move with the angle of attack. The market is now realizing flight to quality/safety.  Core inflation is an … Continue reading →

Core inflation now has an uptrend which is bullish for TLT.  TLT:SPY X should occur within 2-3 weeks.  I will wait for Sep 18 before buying as taper announcement will give a buying opportunity on that day. From Mar (reported … Continue reading →

It would have been better to be 2.1 or 2.2.  CCPI for July was 1.70 which is a rise but also on low side. I consider it unlikely that GCPI will maintain 2.0 on Sep 17.  Therefore it’s a wait … Continue reading →

August is too early an entry as I suspect cpi will also be strong in August reported Sep 17. Notice Fed meeting ends on Sep 18.  I noticed in Apr 2010, Apr 2011, Apr 2012, Oct 2012 and March 2013 … Continue reading →

As expected, inflation still too low so another round of stimulus continues until inflation hits 2.0.  A large stock market bubble has been created with record leverage and will create a big mess when it pops. TLT:SPY took another downturn … Continue reading →

Gas buddy has turned down again but cpi was up a respectable 0.5 in June.  July should be similar.  I sense the TLT:SPY will occur in 3rd week of August.  Gross CPI (reported Aug 15) should be 2.2+ above the … Continue reading →

Unfortunately, core inflation is still falling.  Last month it rose 0.08% and 0.1% in May.  Q2 should be weak. Q3 shows signs of picking up however. If July is very strong as Feb this year, 2.0 is still possible for … Continue reading →