Author Archives: Credit Flow Investor

AS inflation surges, growth dies. Recessions are built on inflation and negative growth. As the Fed drops rates, inflation surges killing growth. But IF THEY DONT DROP, GROWTH DIES EVEN FASTER. THEY ARE CAUGHT BETWEEN A ROCK AND A HARD … Continue reading →

above 200dma and last high in aug…

Case-shiller 4 months straight… AND zillow confirms since March… AND aside ….miles traveled as proxy for declining GDP per capita…

Despite rates being dropped, spy continues to lose upward momentum… 1 and 2 y Treasuries suck away money from SPY and then it hiccups. The last 5 weeks of 1 year Treasuries show money being drawn away from SPY and … Continue reading →

Downtrend in 1y Treasury in July last year showed the hiccup in Jul-Aug and the same with Feb-Mar.

TLT moves up and will hit 91-92 by Fed meeting. SPY will have trouble next week… AND TLT gains on short bond

200 dma points up again in August… May-Jul weakness ends. SPY will start to have trouble. In Feb, bonds started to move up ROC60 + and trouble happened in SPY Mar and Apr (Earnings’ Season). When SPY has big trouble, … Continue reading →