Author Archives: Credit Flow Investor

Here you go…OB at 594 on Monday and then began selloff. THIS is a sideways/mild bear market. No more BULL. THE MARKET DETERMINES THE NEWS NOT THE OTHER WAY AROUND. Tariffs were also big news in 2018 but did not … Continue reading →

When IEF remains in negative territory for 4 weeks, the turn around occurs. Last time was mid-Dec to mid-Jan…waiting for 12dma to cross…

I figured out the youtube guys are real estate agents who take big commission checks when real estate is booming and switch to gold (also high commission) when real estate turns down! Not a bad business strategy for sales people … Continue reading →

The worst is Citibank model at 6.7% unemployment rate. The range for Q1 bank statements is 5-6.7%. And JPM increased the most by $1B. To me this is just the beginning…every quarter forecast gets worse and worse from here on … Continue reading →

Here’s a list of indicators that did not work. after-action report. Many of these indicators are traditional BUT DID NOT WORK… Some may work again given that the 50 year super-cycle bubble is bursting. AND JP has to keep rates … Continue reading →

What has the last 2-3 years taught us? Don’t listen to perma-bears when risk is ON and vice-versa! While in Risk Off for the next 2 years, it’s OK to listen to perma-bears. However, ONCE RISK ON RESUMES AT END … Continue reading →

And the opposite is true. When there’s risk on, ignore bad numbers! Below indicates that delinquencies are rising faster and faster!!! Unemployment sentiment continues higher to 70% near record! Econ numbers get worse for air travel, airlines, and hotels-lodging… In … Continue reading →

This has been obvious since January…but Teck now has the 40 wkma X the 100 wkma! Teck is official bear now. Clearly the 12 wkma told you at the beginning of every year if it was a RISK on or … Continue reading →

Mr. T has been told by house members he must ‘pay’ for his tax cut extension. It’s actually not a tax cut but a tax cut EXTENSION to keep the rate at 37%. Net stimulus 150B or 0.5% GDP over … Continue reading →

waiting for first open above 12 wkma… Corps having hard time passing on costs..inflation fears massively overblown.