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Author Archives: Credit Flow Investor
1y Treasury Trend shows the future of SPY hiccups
Downtrend in 1y Treasury in July last year showed the hiccup in Jul-Aug and the same with Feb-Mar.
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TLT looks primed for a mini-run
TLT moves up and will hit 91-92 by Fed meeting. SPY will have trouble next week… AND TLT gains on short bond
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August SPY updated and weakens but not a big drop yet…1y Treasury shows a drop
Oct-Nov for a big drop after Sep cools some more… Big change from 4.1 to 3.84 the last 4 weeks…current FR is 4.3. IT SEEMS NOW the 1 year is where it should be given a 0.25 drop. New FR … Continue reading
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UTWO All Trend Lines Up (short bonds move first)
200 dma points up again in August… May-Jul weakness ends. SPY will start to have trouble. In Feb, bonds started to move up ROC60 + and trouble happened in SPY Mar and Apr (Earnings’ Season). When SPY has big trouble, … Continue reading
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S & P cools off Aug Bi-wkly
Bi-wkly is added after july monthly.. Bi-wkly oil drops 5%…
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CPI-PPI < 0 means profits under pressure
Starting Oct 2024 CPI was moving below PPI putting profits under pressure. Profits were under pressure all during 2022 until Jan 2023 when profits soared because CPI consumer prices were well above producer-wholesale prices. NOTICE the CPI moves under PPI … Continue reading
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Quarterly S&P (the DELTA on the economy) and PERSISTENCE quote
How are economy/asset prices doing ? Easy…check the S&P average prices BUT by quarter. As you can see below, it becomes quite clear… “Nothing in this world can take the place of persistence. Talent will not; nothing is more common … Continue reading
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