Author Archives: Credit Flow Investor

Bonds return to bull after Fed signals no drops. World-US economy continues to weaken… Notice how the construction market seems to figure things out a year in advance! But many argue no one knows…it’s all random. The market is now … Continue reading →

The YoY increase in M1 was crossed in September…meaning weak economy and recession ahead say 2026. Shoppers switch to WMT to save money. High middle class are also switching. 2021-2022 economy was good…WMT flat. In 2023, WMT started rising and … Continue reading →

A lot of comparisons are made to 2008. AND most indicators are flashing recession ahead. The economy is slowing and weakening: In 2007, payrolls were growing below 1%…we’re still at 1.4%. Below 1% will be next june. Notice Q3 2006 … Continue reading →

As you know, the USD has been sideways for the past 2 years. USD trend is key to market transitions. How to know you have a new uptrend? Simple USD should be Overbought on a weekly basis… In Oct-Nov 2021, … Continue reading →

Payrolls Yearly … Payrolls Monthly…

The inflation scare of the last 3 months (Jul-Sep) came from falling USD. BUT now its back and strongest monthly in 2 years. This leads to stalling stock market and falling oil.