Author Archives: Credit Flow Investor

From this chart…no rise Jun….Sep and Dec. Lowest unemployment rate in 10 years means more rate rises… Why is Sep bad for stocks? from http://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/06/septworstmonth.asp: There are several theories which attempt to explain this phenomenon. One particular theory points to … Continue reading →

Trumps losses become Bernie Sanders’ gains. What will a socialist government do to stocks? Flat/sideways for 8-10 years:   But I see the future more like Japan with low growth.  There’s no way you’ll have economic growth like 1950s America. … Continue reading →

Line must start to rise before correction events: Sep-Oct 2014 Jan 2015 August 2015 Jan 2016 Since Mar 2016 it’s been down BUT now is rising setting up conditions for correction Sep-Oct 2017. The risk off stocks line is also … Continue reading →

  OFC model: oil must X 40 wkma first and that occurs in July… The oil 40 wkma is now flat.

When there’s a correction in Sep-Oct, Jan follows: Sep-Oct 2013 followed by Jan-Feb 2014 (small due to QE) Sep-Oct 2014 followed by Jan 2015 (larger but Fed rate 0) Aug 2015 followed by Jan -Feb 2016 (biggest correction yet as … Continue reading →

TLT to SPY 10 week line should show rise

Tremor 1 (-2 to -4%) underway after Oil X 40 wkma and FPC as predicted! Cycle is now 1 year from Mar 2017 to mid Feb 2018 risk off. Tremor 2 will be Jun-Jul again -2 to 4%. But no … Continue reading →

Just as oil can be used on the downside to ‘see’ the next correction (-10%), it can also be used to jump on the SPY rebound train. Below oil rises rapidly From Feb 16-Mar 1. +$7 in 2 weeks!   … Continue reading →

US Home Ownership Falls 5%…the most in 50 years And UK 9.8%.. These are bad news for real estate and household formation/economic growth.