Author Archives: Credit Flow Investor

FPC as ccpi hits 2.01…Christmas Rally starts!

Core inflation hits 2.0 hence the rate rise. FPC means fed policy change.  These are the best times to profit.   Dec 2012, Dec 2013, Dec 2014 & Dec 2015 are all FPC events leading to great Jan profit opportunities: Dec … Continue reading

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FXC OS (was also temporarily in Dec 2014 before Fed Mtg)

So as a setup to a TLT run in Jan, it is expected that FXC would get OS to a small degree in Dec.  TLT:SPY also X above 10wkma last Dec 2014. The level is almost exactly the same!   … Continue reading

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FXC not OS flat for 3 months

FXC energy stored up for fall in January.  By Jan, 4 months flat. By Jan 4, FXC goes OS indicating a major TLT rally…

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Core inflation slows down

Same as last year Oct CCPI rose but very little. Due to discounts, etc. in November, it should fall when the Fed meets in Dec. This will set aside concerns of an interest rate rise. Europe and rest of world … Continue reading

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FXC same level as 3 mo ago

FXC has remained in a tight range since the end of August. Look for it to be OS (oversold) in Jan when the ECB adds QE. When OS, it’s a great time to buy TLT.  Check Jan 2014 and Jan … Continue reading

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Oil downside limited ($20) BUT USD can rise very high (160)

The TLT spring can be driven by Oil (down)/SPY (down) OR USD (up)/SPY (down). So the USD rising spring can exceed the oil spring. Oil and gas going lower shows weak world demand and therefore more action by ECB QE … Continue reading

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TLT:oil steady BUT TLT:SPY near bottom again!

Good news TLT:SPY near bottom again… Cycle has bottomed out and will renew an uptrend..to TLT surge in Jan.

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TLT now RWm and has met requirement

It can still go lower/more red. AND now setup for Jan TLT rally.   And TLT:SPY shows near bottom…

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Mo Gas “Less Bad”…October gas data is all in now

The monthly change in gas prices is “less bad” therefore oil rally is close in Nov or Dec.  USD market still worried about interest rate rise. BUT core inflation will come down in Oct-Nov putting the Fed rise off the … Continue reading

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TLT not red yet (RWm)…As expected, interest rate rise won’t happen

Review:  GWm means green Williams Oscillator and RWm mean red Williams Oscillator. Earlier I said the market will fall due to gravity not fed intervention through rate rise. Rates won’t go up as inflation will come off by the Dec … Continue reading

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