Author Archives: Credit Flow Investor

Crises evolve over 1 month as from Sep 18 to Oct 16 this year. In 2011 when QE was turned off in June, the crisis started the following month in mid-July and the crisis peak was also 1 month (mid-Aug). … Continue reading →

October 2013 had a crisis last year and another occurred this year. February 2014 had a VIX 21 crisis and I expect again in 2015.  However, October this year was a bigger crisis a VIX 26 vs 21.  With QE … Continue reading →

November will be sideways on SPY with the first day of month down due to profit taking. In Dec, QE will be shutoff but no crisis as SPY can get OB in Dec. There’s no taper or fiscal cliff to … Continue reading →

Sell SPY now. Look to buy TLT if VIX turns GHA! I will look again for VIX HA at 1100 EDT. TLT is now GHA!!!

Sell SPY OCT 31 at close due to gas buddy continuing to fall.  Gas buddy will have to stabilize and start to rise otherwise a VIX 21 crisis could occur as early as December.   Even Oct 22 (Wed) had … Continue reading →

Due to rising volatility 12dma is changed to 4dma until QE starts again in Jan/Feb.   1) GHA exists 2) OEX at 47 has X the 4dma 3) VIX dropped <4dma  at open  

OEX has to turn and is below the 4dma.  Thurs would have to be above the line and then Friday morning would be go. Again if GHA occurs and VIX close to 12dma 19 or so.  

The go signal will be 1) OEX X above the 4dma the day before…. http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$OEXA200R&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&id=p86984470914 2) VIX close to 12dma or 18.9 today 3) GHA bar (daily) at open 4) Sell on 1st RHA at open or the friday on … Continue reading →

The last 2 days gas buddy has leveled off. This is a bottom area and the rise you see in Dec 2012 is the initiation of QE. So if QE starts in December, gas buddy could rise through Dec/Jan rapidly … Continue reading →

In Feb., VIX rose from 12 to 21 or 9 points.  SPY run was from 174 to 183.5 or $9.  In the 3rd week it went to $184.50 or $1 more. See table of VIX ranges and SPY 2 wk … Continue reading →