Author Archives: Credit Flow Investor

In order to go, a daily GHA at the open is necessary AND VIX fall below 17.3 based on yesterday’s close and possibly below 18 tomorrow. The red bar should shrink the day before.   Yellin talks on Friday so … Continue reading →

  VIX over 20 is peak of storm (it only lasts 1 day)…storm passes buy Monday at open if market up and VIX falls back …  

After VIX hits 17 or 20, buy when VIX falls below the 12dma which is 14.5 at this time. If below the line at the open you can buy, otherwise check at the close and buy at the open the … Continue reading →

There’s no GHA yet.  The VIX needs to be well below (1.5-2 points) the 12dma and you need GHA daily.  Lets’ wait for payrolls tomorrow morning (open) to see if GHA occurs. If market still down on Friday, most likely … Continue reading →

The VIX is now rising and ROC is – so wait for PMI day Oct 1 for a GHA (green HA bar daily at the open or close depending on strategy).   ROC now –   VIX rising look for … Continue reading →

When – is achieved, watch for VIX/GHA

Should cross to -ve in October..then watch VIX/GHA

Looks like ccpi on downtrend again. See attached… But I want to see what it actually says on Wed.  Gas Buddy and gas price change YoY also indicate little inflation…August was -2.4 indicating downward inflation pressure So looks like a … Continue reading →

The ROC has fallen as well as gas buddy from late June. This is the first ROC- event since April. The best rebounds occur after a -4 ROC event.   Gas buddy has fallen and VIX has risen and now … Continue reading →

CCPI never achieved 2.0 (see link 5 on side) and is falling again so TLT was never a play.  SPY rebounds are ahead as inflation falls off from 2.0.  Let me quote Spitznagel again: “Fed can keep spending as long … Continue reading →