Category Archives: Uncategorized

TLT:SPY ratio indicates TLT is value again 0.55-0.56 and ready for a surge even as it did last July! TLT:SPY ratio since taper started: Last  April and May TLT:SPY was above the 40 wkma and still of high value this … Continue reading →

Fed has succeeded in raising the employment rate 1% so time to deflate stock bubble. Last time was 4 years from bottom to top and this time the same 4 years! However, inflation isn’t what it used to be, so … Continue reading →

and of course, VIX down…   So TLT rebound will be up very soon. Buy low…sell high.  The low will be soon on TLT as SPY recovers to Fed Mtg then proceeds to fall from there. TLT GHA SPY RHA … Continue reading →

Since taper, non-QE and now  int rate rise environment, ROC X 0 has become useful as it was with SPY in QE environment. I will now change ROC20 link to TLT.   In fact, the numbers may be grossly exaggerated, … Continue reading →

1) TLT GHA at open on Jun 18, VIX HA > 15 and green, OEX < 4dma 2) same as above on Jun 22 or Jun 23 3) same on Jun 29 Have to be open to a turnaround occurring … Continue reading →

At end of month on Monday, a clear signal forms as to the direction of TLT based on the decision table above. Jun 22,23 are also possible.   Gas Buddy has fallen over the weekend so TLT will pop about … Continue reading →

Notice OEX and VIX together show the trend reversing before Fed meeting on Mar 18.   Also April…

For TLT to resume bull status, it would need to close above 122.77. Also RSI > 50… TLT link T means transition The first T is the taper transition to no QE and falling inflation/rising USD. The second T is … Continue reading →

starting late May TLT  can rebound… In late March/early April, TLT not a play. So this is a sanity check not a precise timing entry tool…   longer term view…TLT only a ‘play’ if FXC below 50 RSI

When policy changes occur, the TLT:SPY ratio rises the most. Ratio is at bottom of range….