Category Archives: Uncategorized

TLT will be down this week which is good as this will be a good rebound opportunity after Fed policy change Jun 17. Initially TLT will go down after int rate rise announcement but then start a rebound 1 week … Continue reading →

USD is back to bull mode again….but Fed Meeting will provide more clarity & volatility.

The market direction(s) are too ‘noisy’ right now. Vix is up but the fed meeting is critical or rather the open of Jun 18.  Jun 18 at open tells the market verdict on the fed meeting and the resulting trends. … Continue reading →

Confirmation will be by end of week….   Makes sense as a few days after Fed minutes.  Look for VIX to rise next…

Core inflation highest in 3 years!  and more inflation to come with obamacare.  Gas prices have also risen so ccpi at 2.0 is very possible on Jun 17 and interest rate rise announcement also possible. Taper 2013 had 3 phases: … Continue reading →

ROC + Sep ROC – Oct ROC+ Nov ROC -shallow Dec&Jan due to end of QE and ECB QE ROC+ Feb ROC- Mar ROC+ Apr & May June should have ROC- as its overdue.  Last year May, Jun, and July … Continue reading →

As money velocity keeps falling, the Fed has to drive asset prices higher and higher in order to grow economy. The peak of money velocity was 1997 and since then asset bubbles have been driven higher and higher with no … Continue reading →

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24USD&p=D&yr=1&mn=0&dy=0&id=p65443933360 This is a TLT ‘in play’ indicator. VIX > 15 still necessary but good news inflation has also surged.. So with inflation near the top target and stocks overvalued…Fed can announce interest rate rise in June.  USD seems to … Continue reading →

The first dot above the line since Apr 18.  Possible TLT turnaround… Gas Buddy still rising though… And vix still low

Also TLT: $WTIC adjusting…also levelled.