Category Archives: Uncategorized

Looks like gas buddy peak was end of May.  As gas buddy is falling fast now, looks like the next rebound opportunity will be July 30-early August after Fed meeting.  Major run ppportunity will be August. ECB event has been … Continue reading →

Looks like SPY rebound strategy will continue as even a strong May and Jun (unlikely) still leads to a ccpi less than 2.0.  Gas buddy will fall away this month it looks like and gcpi will finish below 2.0 Jun … Continue reading →

The VIX has fallen to a low since March 2013.  TLT had a good run in April 2013 after a reported ccpi of 2.0 in March (Feb CPI).  I think it will be close this time but not 2.0 and … Continue reading →

Deflation forces are still there and will continue to build hence why economy has low growth and does not achieve escape velocity.  Something has to give since debt acceleration has slowed.   http://www.marketwatch.com/story/over-50-of-americans-struggle-with-home-affordability-2014-06-03?siteid=yhoof2  What’s more, at least 15% of American … Continue reading →

VIX is still falling..there may be a rise after Fed mtg It’s simply a wait for VIX to rise mid-end of month…perhaps July CPI day is Jun 17.  If cpi near 2.0 the Fed may make noises and market will … Continue reading →

Inflation will fall this month from 2.0…last May the change in gas prices was Apr -3.8 to +1.26 in May a positive swing of +5.  This month has fallen from Apr 3.62 to May 0.3 or a negative swing of … Continue reading →

The bump in gas buddy is over and it continues to fall… So VIX should start to rise in 1-3 weeks with a low in SPY Jun 18-25. Anticipate buying spy rebound July 3 at close as holiday week trading … Continue reading →

With gas buddy now falling, the best buy zone will be a rebound starting 1.5-2mo from now.  With FM on Jun 18, rebound should start Jun 18-25. The VIX and GHA will indicate which day. As ccpi is nowhere near … Continue reading →

It seems VIX runs between 13 and 17.  The sell zone would be below 13 and the buy zone above 17.  The next major rebound will occur after VIX goes above 17 most likely after it falls below 13. The … Continue reading →

It looks like the next major rebound will start Jun 18/19.  A small TLT rebound may occur at end of May after gcpi 2.0 is reported for April.  The buy signal is the first TLT GHA after cpi is reported … Continue reading →